There are a massive amount of choices in today’s football betting world. And while having options may seem beneficial for the casual bettor, for the serious bettor the abundance of choices makes it difficult to find what they’re looking for and even more challenging to avoid losing money. For years, BettingVoice has studied the methods used to provide predictive information through various means.
We’ve watched popular Twitter accounts make bold claims before vanishing into obscurity once they lose a few games. We’ve always sought to be transparent about our sources of data and to use that data to create predictive models instead of making promises without backing those promises. While there are certainly many factors involved in the unpredictability of football, the main issue lies in the business model of many predictive platforms. The vast majority of these platforms’ goals are aligned with creating short term revenue, not supporting the long term success of their users.
The False Promise of Guaranteed Wins
One of the biggest reasons that most predictive platforms ultimately fail is that they sell false hope. Most people understand that sports are not predictable. But what they don’t know is that the overwhelming number of predictive platforms are dishonestly promoting certainty in an industry that will never have absolute certainty. Weather conditions, referee calls, player injuries, and plain old luck are all major factors which affect the outcome of almost every game. Regardless of how good your computer programming is, it cannot accurately predict the variables above with 100% accuracy.
When a website tells you that winning is guaranteed, what they’re really telling you is that they’re selling you a dream. We operate under a different mindset. Rather than promoting false hope or unrealistic expectations, we work towards helping our users identify positive expected value (EV) in the market essentially identifying situations in which the true probability of an event occurring is greater than the price offered by the bookmakers. This process takes time and discipline.
A lack of bankroll management education
In addition to failing to manage expectations, perhaps the largest failure of prediction platforms is educating their users on proper bankroll management techniques. The large majority of users treat betting similar to gambling. They go chasing after big payoffs to recover previous losses. Or they tend to raise their stakes after a win due to feeling overly confident. Perhaps worst of all, they place their entire bankroll on what they perceive as a lock. Predictive platforms that neglect to inform their users on how to establish staking plans and how to effectively manage their risk are doing their users a disservice.
As part of our vision we consider education to be very important particularly concerning responsible gaming practices and sustainable long term growth. Therefore, we not only provide our members with access to quality data, but we also instruct our community on how to properly structure their stakes, track their progress and develop new strategies using historical data. We look at ourselves as partners in your betting journey not simply vendors of betting tips.
The psychological cost of unreliable predictions
A hobbyist’s goal is to enjoy betting. Stressful experiences do not add enjoyment to a pastime. A person may become overwhelmed with emotion when relying on predictions generated by a site that is untrustworthy. Problematic behavior associated with gambling may also occur. Unreliable sites that are more interested in keeping their users engaged than making sure their users’ well-being are contributing to the toxic nature of the industry. We design our material to educate bettors so they can rely upon their own educated judgment when making bets rather than betting blindly.
What makes BettingVoice different from other sites that offer predictions?
At BettingVoice we work within two separate sets of standards that set us apart from all other sites in the prediction business:
- Data driven analysis: we use both mathematical models and expertise to form our analysis. While numbers tell a story, context is required to understand the plot.
- Open records: we publish our performance statistics. No one needs to question whether we truly perform at a high level.
- Educating bettors: we give you the tools to catch your own fish. Articles published on BettingVoice describe the thought processes that go into our selections so that you may develop your own analytic capabilities.
- Responsible gaming: we remind you that gaming should be done responsibly. We offer you resources to assist you in maintaining responsible gaming practices. We have no interest in getting you to wager more than you can afford to lose.
- Focus: we concentrate our efforts on those areas where we have established an advantage, rather than trying to spread ourselves too thin across the board with all available outcomes.
Conclusions
There is much room for error and pitfalls in the football betting industry. Many of these sites harm the bettor due to the fact that most prediction sites care more about generating short term revenue through misleading advertisements, affiliates and manipulation of psychology versus providing long term success for their clients. These sites are selling dream rather then a solution. It is up to each bettor to critically evaluate the sources of the information they obtain.
We should be asking tough questions regarding transparency, methodologies, and ethics. Seek out substance, consistency, and honesty. At BettingVoice we strive to provide a voice of reason in an extremely loud and busy industry. We firmly believe that by concentrating on delivering true value, educating our clients, and providing transparency, we can assist our community in having faith and control over the complex world of football betting.
If you are sick and tired of buying into the hype and are looking for a more logical, data-driven way to engage in Sports betting, we welcome you to explore the content provided here.
Disclaimer: Sports betting is risky. Gamble responsibly. Never bet with funds that you cannot afford to lose. If you or someone else who gambles regularly has a problem with gambling, contact local support groups
